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mike campbell
PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2014 6:50 am  Reply with quote
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Dave in Maine
PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2014 7:25 am  Reply with quote



Joined: 12 Sep 2010
Posts: 1973
Location: Maine

mike campbell wrote:
renaudnw wrote:
.... no single test of five rounds can tell you if what you are loading is good, bad, or indifferent.


Maybe not in the classroom, but in the real world it absolutely can and does. ...
I may not ace the Monday morning statistics quiz but having loaded 125,000 rounds of the same recipe and tested 8-shell samples on random occasions over 10 years, I'll wager a $50 bill on what the average of 8 pulled from my next flat will be.


I'll wager you have a strong right arm, too.
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renaudnw
PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2014 8:23 am  Reply with quote



Joined: 10 Feb 2011
Posts: 217
Location: Pacific Northwest

Dogchaser37 wrote:
Give it up renaudnw.
...
You might understand samples and SPC and statistics, however you do not understand SAAMI Standards and how they are applied.
Well...

As they say "You can lead a horse to water, but you can't make it think."

Actually having written and approved hundreds of test and verification specifications and standards in the last 26 years, And having served on the test and integration teams for the most advanced systems on Earth, I understand the SAAMI and ANSI standards far better than most. And I also understand the difference between a sample statistic and a population statistic.

I also understand that the vast majority of what is written on these forms about chamber pressure and chamber dynamics is pure drivel. Pulling a trigger, loading shells, and sending shells to a test house does not make one an expert on internal ballistics. Frankly what you do on your own and with your buddies is your business. But when you get on a public forum, you have a responsibility to know what you are talking about before you spout off.

Your right, I should "give it up". I just hope that someone doesn't do something stupid because they followed the advice of someone who "thought" they knew what the were talking about.

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verp
PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2014 8:48 am  Reply with quote



Joined: 04 Mar 2014
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Location: Luxembourg

In case of the overwhelming (sic) evidence .I also rest my case. On another forum I have seen Physics reinvented. And now I can't take it anymore to see Statistics reinvented. (Steak example included.)
For me this is clear case of the 2 articles :

!) I am always right!
2) In case I am wrong,Article 1 applies.

I sympathize with you Renaudw. Some people have problems to understand
the basic principles of designing experiments and test procedures.

Dogchaser you can find a lot of books on statistics ,also on ballistics.
Read them and try to understand.
In case you want to use more invective go ahead.

I repeat what a fellow researcher used to say when someone was displeased with the outcome of experiments, because they did not understand.
I have been shouted at by more important people.
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mike campbell
PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2014 9:32 am  Reply with quote
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Rolling Eyes


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byrdog
PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2014 2:20 pm  Reply with quote
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I love the smell of contempt in the morning. Or is that beer?

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Dogchaser37
PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2014 2:32 pm  Reply with quote
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The two making the problem here, don't have any experience, developing loads, actually testing them or applying SAAMI standards.

The ONLY thing either of them has done is comment, incorrectly, on a data sheet that Mr Armbrust produced.

I suppose that Mr Armbrust doesn't understand what he is doing either?

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skeettx
PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2014 3:11 pm  Reply with quote
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END END END

Let us please end this posting

The OP got this answer.

16GA would you please cap this thread?

Thanks to all for the entertainment.

Mike
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16gaugeguy
PostPosted: Wed Mar 19, 2014 7:26 am  Reply with quote
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It's been a long cold winter. Spring's coming. We'll all soon find better things to do. Very Happy
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onefunzr2
PostPosted: Wed Mar 19, 2014 12:49 pm  Reply with quote
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cj dawe,

You must understand the two conflicting reloading premises first. In metallic reloading you 'work up' from the starting load watching for pressure signs as you get toward the max load. In shotshell reloading you always use a published and tested load as it is written.

I know that can be a predicament when you live in a remote area of the planet and cannot simply go to a local gun shop to make component purchases. I heard the same lament from professional hunters in Africa who preferred to load their own ammo.

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Dave Miles
PostPosted: Sat Mar 22, 2014 4:05 am  Reply with quote
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onefunzr2 wrote:
cj dawe,

In shotshell reloading you always use a published and tested load as it is written.



I don't agree with this at all.
However, if you do vary from the published data, you CAN NOT expect the pressures and velocities to be the same.

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onefunzr2
PostPosted: Sun Mar 23, 2014 7:05 am  Reply with quote
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Dave Miles wrote:
onefunzr2 wrote:
cj dawe,

In shotshell reloading you always use a published and tested load as it is written.



I don't agree with this at all.


Then how do you go about constructing your 16ga reloads if you do not consult a proven, published, and tested recipe?

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Dave Miles
PostPosted: Sun Mar 23, 2014 10:33 am  Reply with quote
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onefunzr2 wrote:
Dave Miles wrote:
onefunzr2 wrote:
cj dawe,

In shotshell reloading you always use a published and tested load as it is written.



I don't agree with this at all.


Then how do you go about constructing your 16ga reloads if you do not consult a proven, published, and tested recipe?


I consult tested load data, but I don't always use it, there's a difference.
I personally don't have a problem using different primers. Or reducing the payload, or adding a spreader insert. I've been loading long enough I know what I can safely get away with.

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byrdog
PostPosted: Sun Mar 23, 2014 2:35 pm  Reply with quote
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data varies so much shot to shot that it really is only a guide. If you think that all the shells loaded to a single combination are going to give you the pressure and vel thats written there over and over again then you should read about load testing and find out how little is really learned from it. the stats are in a very large ballpark to say the least.





i

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If you take Cranberries and stew them like applesauce they taste much more like Prunes than Rhubarb does ----G.M/
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Dogchaser37
PostPosted: Sun Mar 23, 2014 5:54 pm  Reply with quote
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I can't resist........exactly how large is the ballpark?

How much does data vary shot to shot?

Test station to test station? How much can pressure vary? Why can it vary that much? How much can velocity vary, test station to test station? Why can velocity vary that much?

There are definite answers to all of this. Where do you find the answers?


This type of thread ALWAYS boils down to, everyone wants to hear what they want to hear so it fits into their little reloading kingdom, whether driven by price, ego or stupidity or all 3. Just like anything else, that is manufactured (and you are manufacturing ammo when you reload) there are tolerances.

And just because you aren't wearing your barrel for a neck tie IS NOT definitive proof that you are reloading properly. Thank the firearm engineers for over engineering the firearms so that doesn't happen.

Swapping primers isn't dangerous, it changes the ballistics so that you aren't getting what you should.......apparently that doesn't matter to most.......swap away.

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